qi bin: thanks for the host ,host to praise me ,gucci,a praise put me like a martyr of the revolution .thank you very much for providing such a valuable opportunity to learn ,just a few of the old leadership has given us a lot to economy of prospective observation ,very benefit ,i remember a lot of notes .
i am glad to take this opportunity to exchange with you ,there are many old friends and new friends .just a few leaders told a lot of very important content, behind me speaking is not so important .
although not too important ,but because the capital market is relatively sensitive ,so we put a two request ,one is i know you are a lot of investor ,if you want to fry a stock, please don take my story as place an order decision reference ,louis vuitton outlet,because i said something that is more macroscopical ,comparative strategy ,comparison long term ,while the stock market change on many short-term factors .
two is now more like micro-blog ,if you like micro-blog ,please don speak any words to the micro-blog ,because sometimes a word is not very comprehensive ,to other investors do not responsible .
i want to talk about two aspects of knowledge and thinking, one is about the 2011 review, if use a word to generalize words ,called :the restless world pattern .in 2012, in a word ,called: the tangled in the chinese economy, mainly for growth and transformation .
the first review in 2011, at the end of each year, we need to think about what is happening this year big ,inventory in 2011, about five events .first ,the middle east has swung ,the middle east situation confirms of chairman mao famous judgment :sparks of fire ,can start a prairie fire .
from tunisia of a small traders start ,middle earth finally everywhere crowd of protesters ,then many people from the political scene ,even the life is over .but did not bring peace ,nor bring democracy in the middle east today ,already from the protests escalated into a tank cannon .
so we use a word to generalize the situation in the middle east, called :no mess ,only more chaos ,a topic word &ldquo &rdquo ;chaos ;this is the last place ,the first thing .second ,european woke up ,dream in europe discovered the world changed .
you may not know this dog ,this dog on the cover of time ,so now the time person of the year is relatively broad ,dogs can also .the dog named &ldquo ;protest dog &rdquo ;greek protesters ,a member of &rdquo ,&ldquo ;athens ;in 2011 to become the time person of the year .
china last year staged a drama called startling step by step ,listen to the name that is european economy .but the crisis is spreading fast ,from greece ,portugal ,spain ,ireland, belgium ,finland ,italy ,growing .
so last year the european situation is also used of a sentence can be summed up, &ldquo ;no best ,only worse &rdquo ;.in 2011 third,is a pop song called a kind of love called letting go ,in 2011 we also found &ldquo ;one hates that the world jieyue to punish &rdquo ;,occupied wall street .
all of you are in finance, that seems a little be inopportune or inappropriate ,i also am in finance .during the 1860 americanwriter fowler has such a famous saying: people think wall street is a stuffed with an unclean bird cage ,ding ,,where the doings horror ,they were awesome deals ,served by friends and neighbors to fatten their wealth .
150 years later ,we find that ,american society for wall street no hate ,only more hate .fourth ,we must not forget that year and an important figure :comrade kim jeong-eun .although korea is a small country, but the situation in northeast asia ,but affects the global powers ,apply the previous belief that the east-west confrontation front, so called recieves orders at jeopardy during ,without the risk ,only more risks ,the situation is very dangerous ,but the situation for china development and reform and the rise of a a very big impact .
in 2011 fifth,there is a word we all know ,the chinese economy is not only the most difficult ,more difficult ,reform enters deep water area ,in our growth ,transition ,looking for a difficult balance between inflation .
i want to use this word ,simply put us on the last year of the thinking and understanding to make a report ,i want to talk behind two parts .one is how to understand and think about the international situation .
understanding of 2011 ,i think of a word is called the world is wonderful ,really wonderful ,2011 hasa few magic .first ,the americans to fan the flames lit up the middle east ,middle east ,set fire to the backyard ,suddenly found that the united states of america old people in shangjie .
the financial crisis of 2008 second,the united states ,louis vuitton pas cher,earthquake ,the results of the european collapse .third ,over the past few years, everybody said that the financial crisis is over, the financial crisis three years ,the world has entered a greater crisis .
this is a little higher than most people imagine, if in the past three years, all of the world famous economists talk about world economy walks out of the crisis that took it out and read the words ,we will find that economics is indeed a difficult learning .
so ,how to understand europe and the united states of america phenomenon ?nature than we imagine something simple ,europe is four words: bad ,because of its social overdraft badlier .at least three serious problems ,the first is the high welfare society ,this everybody knows ,but we didn know how it high welfare .
we have recently seen a data says ,greece has a monastery ,the monastery had 40 gardeners,raised for 30 years ,but also ready to raise 30 years .the recently discovered monastery no garden ,so are the empty rates ,does not know that this nation is such ,sac louis vuitton,capital ,and create a good exchange platform .at the 2009 ipo,silicon valley has 1 ,zhongguancun science and technology park in 23,although many comrades of the views of the ipo relatively large .
recently the national financial work conference stressed the two things ,one is farming ,two is a medium-sized enterprises ,emphasizes that the financial services for them .agriculture and small and medium-sized enterprises than you might imagine important .
we stock system has a comrade named chen shulong ,was originally a securities company manager ,later to be wuhu secretary ,now the vice governor of anhui province committee .i went to wuhu ,party secretary chen said to me ,abercrombie and fitch,must not :europe and the united states debt crisis ,the outside is inside also said no :shorting china .very strange, siege phenomenon disappeared ,and now chinese himself said he was dying .
i look and see ,now there is only one kind of people say chinese is good, i call it across .is the old outside china, think china is good ,chinese go abroad ,said the original or the motherland is good .
foreigners came to china why think china is good ,first ,china is different with his imagination .china today decentralization far out of their imagination .some foreigners think chinese will one day suddenly gone, they don china is already a very decentralized decision-making mechanism .
now i would like to do not know what a problem ,democracy and bureaucracy ,is it right? what happened? or what is the relationship between the two of them ?a department did not agree ,what people say is of no use ,this is actually a problem .
second ,foreigners to china to have a look ,discover the world few countries like china so energetic ,he will be very shocked .on 2000, chinese economy gross to exceed the united states world forecast in 2050 after the matter, imf said recently is 2016 .
when the above is not important ,even more than our average per capita is far worse than he .why china will be accelerated ,this all sounds very complicated ,but the utility of adams smith simple theory can explain .
liberal economy essence is called free trade ,is free trade or trade ,or business .business is the permutation and combination .two people make a deal, three people have three transactions, four people have six transactions, five people do a ten transaction ,six is fifteen ,seven is twenty-one &hellip ;&hellip ;this arrangement ,more and more quickly ,so when 1300000000 peopletogether to free economy, results it is very terrible ,english name is exponential ( exponential growth ) ,is the explosive growth .
so the chinese economy will have the acceleration effect .moreover, a chinese day to do ten trading ,a german ten days to do a transaction ,a greek ten days a transaction will not do .
therefore ,how to further promote the market-oriented reforms ,how better to release the one billion three hundred million people vitality ,stimulate their creativity ,chinese macroscopical economy foreground is the biggest factor ,other factors may be smaller relative factors .
the end of the beginning of the year ,a review of the year ,there are some things that make you hard to forget .the last time i went to a medium city ,to participate in local government out of a financial festival .
the end of the event, received notification that return a city plane was delayed one hour ,said the driver to take me to a turn, begin to talk .i say you how so much older still drive ,at the age of 50 ,he said that the tourism company is his ,because these two days too many activities ,drivers are not enough, had to drive ,so he is a boss . |
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狗仔卡
发表于 2012-6-8 00:35
变色卡
发表于 2012-6-8 09:19
